When dealing with Voter identification: Gallup does the most polling for individual states so we will refer to Gallup. Also the categories are Strong Democrat or Strong Republican(which is a +10% advantage)
Leans Democrat or Leans Republican (which is a 5-10% advantage)
Toss Up (States are Less than 5% of voter registration advantage)
Now these polls are done between 2 and 4 times a year and do shift a little from year to year, i know if i pulled the December 2009 polling you would see the process in which states have lost registration to the Democratic party over the past year in a more accurate mean, you would notice about half of the states pull towards the right during the 2009 elections, but you would also find a couple states veering towards the left. For such purposes i will only be comparing Summer of 2009 to summer of 2010 Voter Identification in order to show the movement over the past year.
Gallup Party Voter ID advantage summer 2009
| Strong Dem | Lean Dem | TossUP | Strong Rep | Lean Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA, OR, NM, IL, MD, DE, NY, NJ, CT, RI, MA, VT, HI, NV, WA, IA, MO, AR, MI, WI, OH, KY, WV, NC, PA, NH, ME | OK, LA, TN, FL, VA, IN | ND, TX, MS, GA, AZ, MT, SD, KS, AL, SC | NE | UT, AK, WY, ID |
anything in (brackets-- with a number tells you how many columns the state has moved from 2009 to 2010)
Gallup Party Voter ID advantage summer 2010
| Strong Dem | Lean Dem | TossUP | Strong Rep | Lean Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA, OR, NM, IL, MD, DE, NY, NJ, CT, RI, MA, VT, HI | WA, NV, WI, MI, OH, KY, PA, WV, ME | ND, TX, MS, GA, CO, OK, MN, IA, MO, AR, LA, IN, TN, VA, NC, FL | AZ, NH, SD, AL, SC | UT, AK, WY, ID, MT, NE, KS |
Republican Gains in Voter Identification
| Small shift (5-10%) | Midium Shift (10-15%) | Large Shift (+15%) |
|---|---|---|
| NE, AZ, SD, SC, AL, NC, VA, TN, IN, LA, OK, ME, WV, PA, OH, MI, NV, WA, KY, WI | MT, KS, CO, MN, IA, MO, AR, FL | NH |
